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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 2 · Round 1
Fri, Sep 25, 2026 Β· 5:00 PM BST

Georgia vs Northern Ireland Prediction & Win Probability

Georgia has a 44% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1635 · World #59
Form: LLLLW
VS
Rating 1605 · World #67
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
44%
26%
Draw 30%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡ͺ Georgia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand12%21%33%34%
Georgia win 19%28%38%15%
Draw 8%19%34%38%
Northern Ireland win 5%11%23%61%

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Northern Ireland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand8%16%30%46%
Georgia win 4%10%22%65%
Draw 8%17%33%43%
Northern Ireland win 16%25%40%19%

League B Β· Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Ukraine 0 0 1751 46% 30% 16% 7%
– Hungary 0 0 1720 33% 33% 21% 13%
– Georgia 0 0 1635 12% 21% 33% 34%
– Northern Ireland 0 0 1605 8% 16% 30% 46%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
GeorgiaStatNorthern Ireland
3-1-6Won-Drawn-Lost5-1-4
1.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.9Avg goals conceded1.0
1635Rating1605
#59World rank#67

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Georgia and Northern Ireland haven't met since 2010.

Recent Results

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡ͺ Georgia

@ Bulgaria
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 50%
1–2
vs Spain
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–4
@ Turkey
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 17%
1–4
@ Spain
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 4%
0–2
vs Bulgaria
Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 59%
3–0

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Northern Ireland

@ Italy
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–2
vs Luxembourg
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 60%
1–0
@ Slovakia
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 18%
0–1
vs Germany
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–1
vs Slovakia
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 24%
2–0