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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 2 · Round 2
Mon, Sep 28, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM BST

Northern Ireland vs Hungary Prediction & Win Probability

Hungary has a 45% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1605 · World #67
Form: LWLLW
VS
Rating 1720 · World #40
Form: LWDWL
Model Probability
26%
45%
Draw 29%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Northern Ireland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand8%16%30%46%
Northern Ireland win 18%27%29%25%
Draw 8%16%31%46%
Hungary win 2%10%29%58%

πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί Hungary

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand33%33%21%13%
Northern Ireland win 18%26%28%28%
Draw 29%36%23%13%
Hungary win 45%36%16%4%

League B Β· Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Ukraine 0 0 1751 46% 30% 16% 7%
– Hungary 0 0 1720 33% 33% 21% 13%
– Georgia 0 0 1635 12% 21% 33% 34%
– Northern Ireland 0 0 1605 8% 16% 30% 46%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
Northern IrelandStatHungary
5-1-4Won-Drawn-Lost2-3-5
1.6Avg goals scored1.3
1.0Avg goals conceded2.1
1605Rating1720
#67World rank#40

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Northern IrelandStatHungary
1Wins (3 meetings, 1 draw)1
1Last 3 meetings (1 draw)1
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Tue, Mar 29, 2022, Friendly): Northern Ireland 0–1 Hungary

Recent Results

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Northern Ireland

@ Italy
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–2
vs Luxembourg
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 60%
1–0
@ Slovakia
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 18%
0–1
vs Germany
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–1
vs Slovakia
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 24%
2–0

πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί Hungary

vs Ireland
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 50%
2–3
@ Armenia
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 64%
1–0
@ Portugal
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
2–2
vs Armenia
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
2–0
vs Portugal
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 14%
2–3