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← Home / UEFA Nations League / Matchups / Italy vs Belgium
Final Score: Italy 0–2 Belgium
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 1 · Round 1
Fri, Sep 25, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Italy vs Belgium Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Italy had a 37% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Italy
Rating 1877 · World #12
Form: DWLWW
Next ›
VS
Belgium
Rating 1894 · World #10
Form: LWDWD
Next ›
Pre-match probability
37%
33%
Draw 31%

League A · Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 France 4 10 2020 90% 10% <1% <1%
2 Italy 4 7 1877 9% 37% 55% <1%
3 Belgium 4 6 1894 2% 54% 45% <1%
4 Turkey 4 0 1754 <1% <1% <1% 100%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 6 internationals in any competition
ItalyStatBelgium
4-1-1Won-Drawn-Lost2-3-1
2.0Avg goals scored2.17
1.0Avg goals conceded1.17
1877Rating1894
#12World rank#10

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Full head-to-head
ItalyStatBelgium
4Wins (7 meetings, 1 draw)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draw)1
1.43Average goals1.29
Last meeting (Fri, Sep 25, 2026, Nations League): Italy 0–2 Belgium

Recent Results

🇮🇹 Italy

@ Bosnia & Herzegovina
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 67%
1–1
vs Northern Ireland
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 75%
2–0
vs Norway
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 55%
1–4
@ Moldova
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 89%
2–0
vs Israel
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 77%
3–0

🇧🇪 Belgium

@ Spain
Fri, Jul 10, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 18%
1–2
@ USA
Tue, Jul 7, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 41%
4–1
vs Senegal
Wed, Jul 1, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 47%
2–2
@ New Zealand
Sat, Jun 27, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 70%
5–1
vs Iran
Sun, Jun 21, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
0–0