โ† Home / UEFA Nations League / Matchups / Serbia vs Netherlands
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 2
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM BST

Serbia vs Netherlands Prediction & Win Probability

Netherlands has a 59% chance to win, with a 25% chance of a draw.

Rating 1738 · World #29
Form: LWLWL
VS
Rating 1949 · World #6
Form: DDWWD
Model Probability
17%
59%
Draw 25%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand1%5%18%76%
Serbia win 4%13%29%53%
Draw 2%6%20%73%
Netherlands win <1%2%14%84%

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand46%39%13%3%
Serbia win 28%40%22%10%
Draw 37%42%18%4%
Netherlands win 54%37%8%<1%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Greece 1 3 1735 8% 19% 56% 18%
2 Germany 1 1 1928 45% 38% 14% 4%
3 Netherlands 1 1 1949 46% 39% 13% 3%
4 Serbia 1 0 1738 1% 5% 18% 76%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SerbiaStatNetherlands
5-1-4Won-Drawn-Lost6-4-0
1.2Avg goals scored2.8
1.2Avg goals conceded0.9
1738Rating1949
#29World rank#6

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Serbia and Netherlands haven't met since 2010.

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

vs Greece
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 42%
1–2
vs Latvia
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 84%
2–1
@ England
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
0–2
@ Andorra
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 90%
3–1
vs Albania
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 60%
0–1

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands

vs Germany
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 43%
1–1
vs Morocco
Tue, Jun 30, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
1–1
@ Tunisia
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 77%
3–1
vs Sweden
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 62%
5–1
vs Japan
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 50%
2–2