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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 4 · Round 2
Mon, Sep 28, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM BST

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction & Win Probability

Romania has a 51% chance to win, with a 28% chance of a draw.

Rating 1686 · World #50
Form: LWLWD
VS
Rating 1608 · World #64
Form: LWLDD
Model Probability
51%
21%
Draw 28%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 4 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡·πŸ‡΄ Romania

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand21%27%30%22%
Romania win 29%32%29%10%
Draw 16%25%33%27%
Bosnia & Herzegovina win 9%17%26%48%

πŸ‡§πŸ‡¦ Bosnia & Herzegovina

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand7%14%27%52%
Romania win 4%9%23%65%
Draw 7%15%29%49%
Bosnia & Herzegovina win 16%27%34%23%

League B Β· Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Poland 0 0 1732 36% 29% 22% 13%
– Sweden 0 0 1727 35% 30% 22% 13%
– Romania 0 0 1686 21% 27% 30% 22%
– Bosnia & Herzegovina 0 0 1608 7% 14% 27% 52%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
RomaniaStatBosnia & Herzegovina
5-1-4Won-Drawn-Lost2-5-3
2.3Avg goals scored1.4
1.2Avg goals conceded1.6
1686Rating1608
#50World rank#64

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
RomaniaStatBosnia & Herzegovina
2Wins (6 meetings, 0 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.5Average goals1.33
Last meeting (Sat, Nov 15, 2025, World Cup qualifier): Bosnia & Herzegovina 3–1 Romania

Recent Results

πŸ‡·πŸ‡΄ Romania

@ Turkey
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–1
vs San Marino
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 96%
7–1
@ Bosnia & Herzegovina
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 47%
1–3
vs Austria
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 27%
1–0
@ Cyprus
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 74%
2–2

πŸ‡§πŸ‡¦ Bosnia & Herzegovina

@ USA
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 14%
0–2
vs Qatar
Wed, Jun 24, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 37%
3–1
@ Switzerland
Thu, Jun 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 14%
1–4
@ Canada
Fri, Jun 12, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 21%
1–1
vs Italy
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 12%
1–1