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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 3 · Round 2
Tue, Sep 29, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM BST

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan Prediction & Win Probability

Slovakia has a 73% chance to win, with a 17% chance of a draw.

Rating 1706 · World #43
Form: LLWWL
VS
Rating 1462 · World #106
Form: WWDDW
Model Probability
73%
9%
Draw 17%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡° Slovakia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand89%9%1%<1%
Slovakia win 94%5%<1%<1%
Draw 82%15%2%<1%
Kazakhstan win 60%32%6%2%

πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ Kazakhstan

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand8%49%28%16%
Slovakia win 3%50%30%18%
Draw 13%51%24%12%
Kazakhstan win 35%42%17%6%

League C Β· Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Slovakia 0 0 1706 89% 9% 1% <1%
– Kazakhstan 0 0 1462 8% 49% 28% 16%
– Faroe Islands 0 0 1382 2% 23% 38% 38%
– Moldova 0 0 1361 1% 19% 34% 46%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SlovakiaStatKazakhstan
5-2-3Won-Drawn-Lost4-2-4
1.0Avg goals scored1.2
1.2Avg goals conceded1.3
1706Rating1462
#43World rank#106

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SlovakiaStatKazakhstan
0Wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)2
0Last 2 meetings (0 draws)2
0.5Average goals1.5
Last meeting (Mon, Jun 13, 2022, Nations League): Kazakhstan 2–1 Slovakia

Recent Results

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡° Slovakia

vs Kosovo
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 55%
3–4
@ Germany
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
0–6
vs Northern Ireland
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 56%
1–0
vs Luxembourg
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 73%
2–0
@ Northern Ireland
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 48%
0–2

πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ Kazakhstan

vs Comoros
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 45%
1–0
vs Namibia
Wed, Mar 25, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 46%
2–0
vs Belgium
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 5%
1–1
@ North Macedonia
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 13%
1–1
vs Liechtenstein
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 78%
4–0