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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 3 · Round 3
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Israel vs Kosovo Prediction & Win Probability

Israel has a 36% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1599 · World #70
Form: LWLLL
VS
Rating 1625 · World #60
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
36%
33%
Draw 31%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand3%18%27%52%
Israel win 6%32%30%32%
Draw 2%14%27%58%
Kosovo win <1%5%25%70%

๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Kosovo

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand15%42%29%14%
Israel win 8%28%36%28%
Draw 13%44%31%11%
Kosovo win 25%55%18%2%

League B ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Austria 1 3 1787 74% 18% 7% 2%
2 Kosovo 1 3 1625 15% 42% 29% 14%
3 Ireland 1 0 1666 7% 23% 37% 32%
4 Israel 1 0 1599 3% 18% 27% 52%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
IsraelStatKosovo
5-0-5Won-Drawn-Lost6-2-2
2.1Avg goals scored1.4
2.3Avg goals conceded1.0
1599Rating1625
#70World rank#60

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
IsraelStatKosovo
0Wins (2 meetings, 1 draw)1
0Last 2 meetings (1 draw)1
0.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Sun, Nov 12, 2023, Euro): Kosovo 1–0 Israel

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel

@ Austria
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 13%
1–3
vs Moldova
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
4–1
@ Italy
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–3
@ Norway
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 14%
0–5
vs Italy
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 13%
4–5

๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Kosovo

vs Ireland
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 33%
1–0
vs Turkey
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 20%
0–1
@ Slovakia
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
4–3
vs Switzerland
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 16%
1–1
@ Slovenia
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
2–0