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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 2 · Round 4
Mon, Oct 5, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM BST

Cyprus vs Latvia Prediction & Win Probability

Cyprus has a 39% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1380 · World #144
Form: LWDDL
VS
Rating 1387 · World #140
Form: LDWWL
Model Probability
39%
31%
Draw 30%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Cyprus

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand9%19%31%41%
Cyprus win 15%28%37%20%
Draw 7%18%31%44%
Latvia win 4%10%22%65%

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand10%20%31%38%
Cyprus win 4%13%24%58%
Draw 9%21%35%36%
Latvia win 19%30%37%14%

League C ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Montenegro 0 0 1517 51% 28% 15% 7%
Armenia 0 0 1467 30% 33% 23% 14%
Latvia 0 0 1387 10% 20% 31% 38%
Cyprus 0 0 1380 9% 19% 31% 41%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
CyprusStatLatvia
3-2-5Won-Drawn-Lost2-3-5
1.4Avg goals scored0.7
1.6Avg goals conceded1.4
1380Rating1387
#144World rank#140

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
CyprusStatLatvia
0Wins (1 meeting, 1 draw)0
0Last 1 meeting (1 draw)0
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Thu, Mar 21, 2024, Friendly): Cyprus 1–1 Latvia

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Cyprus

vs Austria
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–2
@ San Marino
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
4–0
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 17%
2–2
vs Romania
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
2–2
@ Austria
Sat, Sep 6, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 3%
0–1

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia

vs Faroe Islands
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 42%
0–1
@ Lithuania
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 31%
1–1
vs Gibraltar
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 67%
1–0
@ Gibraltar
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 55%
1–0
@ Serbia
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 5%
1–2