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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 2 · Round 5
Thu, Nov 12, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction & Win Probability

Montenegro has a 59% chance to win, with a 25% chance of a draw.

Rating 1517 · World #88
Form: LWLLL
VS
Rating 1387 · World #140
Form: LDWWL
Model Probability
59%
17%
Draw 25%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand51%28%15%7%
Montenegro win 61%27%10%3%
Draw 41%31%19%10%
Latvia win 28%28%26%18%

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand10%20%31%38%
Montenegro win 4%17%34%45%
Draw 12%23%30%34%
Latvia win 28%29%25%18%

League C ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Montenegro 0 0 1517 51% 28% 15% 7%
– Armenia 0 0 1467 30% 33% 23% 14%
– Latvia 0 0 1387 10% 20% 31% 38%
– Cyprus 0 0 1380 9% 19% 31% 41%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
MontenegroStatLatvia
4-0-6Won-Drawn-Lost2-3-5
1.1Avg goals scored0.7
2.0Avg goals conceded1.4
1517Rating1387
#88World rank#140

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
MontenegroStatLatvia
2Wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)0
2Last 4 meetings (2 draws)0
1.25Average goals0.5
Last meeting (Tue, Sep 7, 2021, World Cup qualifier): Montenegro 0–0 Latvia

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro

vs Croatia
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
2–3
@ Gibraltar
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
2–1
@ Faroe Islands
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 56%
0–4
@ Croatia
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–4
vs Czech Republic
Fri, Sep 5, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–2

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia

vs Faroe Islands
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 42%
0–1
@ Lithuania
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 31%
1–1
vs Gibraltar
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 67%
1–0
@ Gibraltar
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 55%
1–0
@ Serbia
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 5%
1–2