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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 2 · Round 5
Thu, Nov 12, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction & Win Probability

Montenegro has a 62% chance to win, with a 23% chance of a draw.

Rating 1528 · World #89
Form: DWWWL
VS
Rating 1370 · World #148
Form: LLDLL
Model Probability
62%
15%
Draw 23%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand94%6%<1%<1%
Montenegro win 97%3%<1%<1%
Draw 92%8%<1%<1%
Latvia win 84%16%<1%<1%

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%7%93%
Montenegro win <1%<1%3%97%
Draw <1%<1%11%89%
Latvia win <1%<1%18%82%

League C ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Montenegro 4 10 1528 94% 6% <1% <1%
2 Cyprus 4 7 1395 6% 65% 29% <1%
3 Armenia 4 4 1459 <1% 29% 64% 7%
4 Latvia 4 1 1370 <1% <1% 7% 93%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
MontenegroStatLatvia
4-1-5Won-Drawn-Lost2-2-6
1.1Avg goals scored0.6
2.0Avg goals conceded1.5
1528Rating1370
#89World rank#148

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
MontenegroStatLatvia
3Wins (5 meetings, 2 draws)0
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.4Average goals0.6
Last meeting (Fri, Oct 2, 2026, Nations League): Latvia 1–2 Montenegro