Final Score: Phillies 8 - Nationals 4
Saturday, October 1, 2005 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
86-74 Rating 1530
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Nationals
81-79 Rating 1489
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 315 302
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 54% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 52%