Final Score: Pirates 5 - Phillies 10
Saturday, July 28, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
42-59 Rating 1439
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.1
Phillies
53-49 Rating 1525
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 282 261
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 1 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 101 102
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.9 5.1
Win percentage 42% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 54%