Final Score: Marlins 7 - Nationals 5
Wednesday, July 27, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
50-53 Rating 1490
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Nationals
49-53 Rating 1451
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 164 126
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 11 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 103 102
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.0
Win percentage 49% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 60%