Final Score: Pirates 4 - Nationals 7
Wednesday, May 16, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
17-19 Rating 1436
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.8
Nationals
22-14 Rating 1488
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Nationals
All-time wins 303 276
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Nationals
Games played 36 36
Avg runs scored 2.8 3.6
Avg runs conceded 3.5 3.2
Win percentage 47% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 72%