Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Phillies 1
Sunday, May 20, 2012 at 1:35 PM ET

Red Sox @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
19-21 Rating 1533
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
21-20 Rating 1555
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Phillies
All-time wins 28 20
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.8 4.7
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Phillies
Games played 40 41
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.0
Win percentage 48% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%