Final Score: Pirates 4 - Phillies 8
Friday, May 16, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
15-29 Rating 1451
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.3
Phillies
25-18 Rating 1548
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 336 318
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 0 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 44 43
Avg runs scored 3.1 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.3
Win percentage 34% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 27% 64%