Final Score: Mets 1 - Orioles 3
Thursday, July 10, 2025 at 12:05 PM ET
Mets @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 35 | 21 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 6 |
| Stat | Mets | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 92 | 90 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 5.1 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 45% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs New York Yankees
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs New York Yankees
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
vs New York Yankees
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 13
1-12
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
Orioles
vs New York Mets
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Texas Rangers
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 30
22-8