Final Score: Cubs 1 - Cardinals 5
Sunday, May 31, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
32-27 Rating 1529
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Cardinals
30-26 Rating 1501
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 468 477
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 59 56
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.6
Win percentage 54% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 50%