Final Score: Cubs 6 - Cardinals 1
Saturday, May 30, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
31-27 Rating 1527
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.0
Cardinals
30-25 Rating 1503
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 467 477
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 58 55
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.5
Win percentage 53% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 52%