Final Score: Cubs 5 - Cardinals 6
Friday, May 29, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
31-26 Rating 1529
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Cardinals
29-25 Rating 1501
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 467 476
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 57 54
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 54% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 50%