Final Score: Nationals 14 - Diamondbacks 1
Friday, June 5, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
31-32 Rating 1459
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.8
Diamondbacks
33-29 Rating 1513
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Diamondbacks
All-time wins 100 82
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Diamondbacks
Games played 63 62
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.4
Win percentage 49% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 62%