Final Score: Marlins 0 - Padres 0
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
58-57 Rating 1493
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.6
Padres
59-56 Rating 1526
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 108 124
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 115 115
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.4
Win percentage 50% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 56%