Final Score: Marlins 3 - Padres 7
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Marlins @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 108 | 126 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 7 |
| Stat | Marlins | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 155 | 155 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 62% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs New York Mets
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 29
14-15
vs New York Mets
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
Padres
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2