Final Score: Marlins 6 - Padres 7
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET
Marlins @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 108 | 125 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 8 |
| Stat | Marlins | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 154 | 154 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 62% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs New York Mets
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 29
14-15
vs New York Mets
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs New York Mets
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
Padres
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4