Final Score: Rays 6 - Yankees 1
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Rays @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
95-61 Rating 1546
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Yankees
90-66 Rating 1558
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Yankees
All-time wins 213 278
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.8
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Yankees
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.7
Win percentage 61% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 57%