| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2009 | 2–7 | Dodgers +5 | Dodgers +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 6–5 | Rangers +1 | Mariners +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 5–2 | Angels +3 | Angels +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 9–6 | Rockies +3 | Rockies +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 6–1 | Phillies +5 | Phillies +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 0–3 | Royals +3 | White Sox +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 2–4 | Cubs +2 | Cubs +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 2–3 | Marlins +1 | Marlins +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 8–4 | Orioles +4 | Rays +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 9–7 | Guardians +2 | Blue Jays +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 6–4 | Red Sox +2 | Yankees +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 7–2 | Twins +5 | Tigers +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 4–9 | Nationals +5 | Astros +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 7–4 | Brewers +3 | Brewers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2009 | 6–4 | Mets +2 | Mets +0.3 | Regular Season |