| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2009 | 4–11 | Angels +7 | Angels +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 11–7 | Diamondbacks +4 | Rockies +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 4–12 | Rangers +8 | Rays +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 2–5 | Guardians +3 | Guardians +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 3–5 | Marlins +2 | Marlins +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 3–4 | Twins +1 | Twins +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 4–7 | Padres +3 | Dodgers +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 0–9 | Giants +9 | Giants +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 1–4 | Phillies +3 | Phillies +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 4–6 | Royals +2 | White Sox +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 2–5 | Reds +3 | Cardinals +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 3–5 | Nationals +2 | Braves +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 3–2 | Mariners +1 | Red Sox +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 11–2 | Brewers +9 | Cubs +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 5–6 | Yankees +1 | Yankees +0.7 | Regular Season |