Final Score: Mariners 3 - Red Sox 2
Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:05 PM ET

Mariners @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
41-38 Rating 1484
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.3
Red Sox
48-31 Rating 1578
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Red Sox
All-time wins 150 202
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 5.2
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Red Sox
Games played 79 79
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.4
Win percentage 52% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 69%