Final Score: Red Sox 10 - Orioles 11
Tuesday, June 30, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
47-29 Rating 1581
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.0
Orioles
34-42 Rating 1453
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 332 260
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 76 76
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.3
Win percentage 62% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 55%