Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Orioles 5
Wednesday, July 1, 2009 at 1:35 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
47-30 Rating 1579
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.0
Orioles
35-42 Rating 1455
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 332 261
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 10 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 77 77
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.4
Win percentage 61% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 56%