| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2011 | 2–18 | Tigers +16 | Tigers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 4–1 | Diamondbacks +3 | Giants +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 5–8 | Athletics +3 | Athletics +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 2–7 | Padres +5 | Padres +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 1–4 | Angels +3 | Angels +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 3–6 | Cubs +3 | Cubs +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 3–2 | Reds +1 | Cardinals +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 9–6 | Guardians +3 | Guardians +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 4–0 | Brewers +4 | Brewers +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 1–8 | Rays +7 | Rays +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 3–4 | Braves +1 | Braves +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 11–4 | Rangers +7 | Red Sox +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 6–3 | Mets +3 | Mets +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 4–5 | Marlins +1 | Phillies +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 4, 2011 | 3–9 | Yankees +6 | Yankees +1.0 | Regular Season |