| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2024 | 9–3 | Diamondbacks +6 | Dodgers +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 3–4 | Rockies +1 | Brewers +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 10–8 | Rays +2 | Rays +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 4–2 | Giants +2 | Braves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 3–7 | Mariners +4 | Orioles +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 0–5 | Athletics +5 | Angels +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 3–1 | Padres +2 | Padres +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 2–10 | Cubs +8 | Phillies +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 6–5 | Red Sox +1 | Red Sox +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 4–8 | Guardians +4 | Guardians +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 3–12 | Twins +9 | Twins +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 5–3 | Astros +2 | Astros +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 8–4 | Reds +4 | Yankees +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 3–2 | Cardinals +1 | Cardinals +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2024 | 0–1 | Nationals +1 | Mets +0.3 | Regular Season |