| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2011 | 102–87 | Nuggets +15 | Hawks +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 80–92 | Celtics +12 | Celtics +10.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 78–94 | Rockets +16 | Rockets +7.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 97–93 | Cavaliers +4 | Kings +6.9 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 112–106 | Mavericks +6 | Mavericks +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 93–107 | Pistons +14 | Pistons +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 104–94 | 76ers +10 | Clippers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 96–85 | Thunder +11 | Heat +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 93–89 | Magic +4 | Magic +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 104–119 | Jazz +15 | Jazz +7.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 95–100 | Pelicans +5 | Pelicans +3.9 | Regular Season |