| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2011 | 83–88 | Hawks +5 | Celtics +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 90–115 | 76ers +25 | 76ers +11.7 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 77–89 | Magic +12 | Magic +9.9 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 101–96 | Bulls +5 | Bulls +7.7 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 107–115 | Wizards +8 | Wizards +3.2 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 99–90 | Nuggets +9 | Nuggets +4.0 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 114–119 | Rockets +5 | Rockets +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 88–89 | Pacers +1 | Pacers +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 98–111 | Suns +13 | Suns +5.9 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 96–85 | Lakers +11 | Lakers +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 93–81 | Grizzlies +12 | Pelicans +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 111–92 | Heat +19 | Heat +8.8 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 91–98 | Trail Blazers +7 | Trail Blazers +0.7 | Regular Season |