| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 106–113 | Bulls +7 | Bulls +16.2 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 92–99 | Warriors +7 | Mavericks +5.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 92–98 | Clippers +6 | Thunder +4.7 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 89–106 | Grizzlies +17 | Grizzlies +14.4 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 87–93 | Bucks +6 | 76ers +0.9 | Regular Season |