| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 121–127 | Thunder +6 | Thunder +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 124–105 | Grizzlies +19 | Mavericks +4.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 127–98 | Knicks +29 | Bucks +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 111–148 | Celtics +37 | Celtics +15.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 119–122 | Pistons +3 | Pistons +5.0 | Regular Season |