Steelers @ Browns

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Steelers 24 - Browns 27
Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
Pittsburgh
Steelers
2-1 Rating 1524
Form: WLWLW
24 – 27
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Steelers +1.6
Cleveland
Browns
2-1 Rating 1404
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Steelers Browns
All-time wins 74 34
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 22.6 16.2
Last meeting 6 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Steelers Browns
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 17.7 18.0
Avg points conceded 20.0 23.7
Win percentage 67% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%