Colts @ Steelers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Colts 22 - Steelers 34
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Indianapolis
Colts
2-2 Rating 1461
Form: LLLWW
22 – 34
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Steelers +3.6
Pittsburgh
Steelers
2-2 Rating 1508
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Colts Steelers
All-time wins 7 26
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 17.3 26.4
Last meeting 20 27

Key Season Stats

Stat Colts Steelers
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 25.5 19.2
Avg points conceded 26.0 21.8
Win percentage 50% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%