Commanders @ 49ers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Commanders 17 - 49ers 23
Monday, October 19, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
Washington
Commanders
1-3-1 Rating 1404
Form: LLWLT
17 – 23
Model Probability
17%
83%
Projected margin: San Francisco 49ers +11.5
San Francisco
49ers
5-0 Rating 1664
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Commanders 49ers
All-time wins 10 20
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 19.3 23.9
Last meeting 10 27

Key Season Stats

Stat Commanders 49ers
Games played 5 5
Avg points scored 23.0 30.8
Avg points conceded 29.8 18.6
Win percentage 20% 100%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%