Lightning @ Hurricanes

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 0 - Hurricanes 0
Monday, December 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-5 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWW
@
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Carolina Hurricanes +0.9
Carolina
Hurricanes
14-5 Rating 1604
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Hurricanes
All-time wins 78 67
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.0 2.8
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Hurricanes
Games played 16 19
Avg goals scored 3.8 4.1
Avg goals conceded 3.1 2.4
Win percentage 69% 74%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 75%