Maple Leafs @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Maple Leafs 0 - Capitals 0
Monday, January 4, 2027 at 7:30 PM ET
Toronto
Maple Leafs
8-9 Rating 1474
Form: WLLWL
@
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Washington Capitals +0.9
Washington
Capitals
8-6 Rating 1525
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Capitals
All-time wins 74 86
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average goals 3.3 3.4
Last meeting 0 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Capitals
Games played 17 14
Avg goals scored 3.6 3.5
Avg goals conceded 3.3 3.4
Win percentage 47% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 60%