Lightning @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 0 - Penguins 0
Tuesday, February 2, 2027 at 7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-6 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWL
@
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2
Pittsburgh
Penguins
6-12 Rating 1471
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Penguins
All-time wins 57 65
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.0 3.2
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Penguins
Games played 17 18
Avg goals scored 3.7 3.2
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.6
Win percentage 65% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 50%