Stars @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Stars 0 - Lightning 0
Friday, February 12, 2027 at 7:00 PM ET
Dallas
Stars
10-7 Rating 1546
Form: LWWLW
@
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-6 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Stars Lightning
All-time wins 32 33
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.8 2.9
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Stars Lightning
Games played 17 17
Avg goals scored 2.9 3.7
Avg goals conceded 2.4 3.1
Win percentage 59% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 100%