Lightning @ Stars

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 0 - Stars 0
Thursday, February 25, 2027 at 8:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-6 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWL
@
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Dallas Stars +0.5
Dallas
Stars
10-7 Rating 1546
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Stars
All-time wins 33 32
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.9 2.8
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Stars
Games played 17 17
Avg goals scored 3.7 2.9
Avg goals conceded 3.1 2.4
Win percentage 65% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 60%