| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3–5 | Kings +2 | Kings +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 4–1 | Senators +3 | Flames +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3–6 | Predators +3 | Predators +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1–4 | Jets +3 | Lightning +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 5–1 | Sabres +4 | Penguins +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2–4 | Blue Jackets +2 | Blue Jackets +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2–6 | Rangers +4 | Rangers +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3–0 | Mammoth +3 | Flyers +0.1 | Regular Season |