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Championship
Wed, Dec 9, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Southampton vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 54% chance to win.

4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
VS
0-4-4 · Rating 1670
Form: DLDLD
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.4%18.1%14.3%
If Win <1%2.4%26.8%7.6%
If Draw <1%<1%19.2%13.2%
If Lose <1%<1%14.7%16.4%

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.3%27.7%53.9%<1%
If Win 13.7%33.1%52.8%<1%
If Draw 9.3%24.1%55.1%<1%
If Lose 7.9%20.2%54.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SouthamptonStatBurnley
8Games played8
2.4Avg goals scored1.1
1.2Avg goals conceded2.1
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 50% / 50%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SouthamptonStatBurnley
5All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2022-04-21): Burnley 2–0 Southampton