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Championship
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Cardiff vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 46% chance to win.

1-4-3 · Rating 1604
Form: WLDLL
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
27%
46%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.8%27.4%54.2%<1%
If Win 14.2%34.2%51.7%<1%
If Draw 10.7%25.3%55.4%<1%
If Lose 8.0%21.1%55.4%<1%

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.8%33.0%
If Win <1%<1%9.8%24.4%
If Draw <1%<1%5.6%33.8%
If Lose <1%<1%3.5%38.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CardiffStatSouthampton
8Games played8
1.2Avg goals scored2.4
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
12% / 50% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
25% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CardiffStatSouthampton
5All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2024-04-20): Cardiff 2–1 Southampton