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Bolton vs Wrexham Prediction & Win Probability

Wrexham has a 37% chance to win.
Championship
Fri, Dec 11, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Championship
Bolton
5-2-8Rating 1591
Form: LWLLD
vs
Model Probability
35%
Draw 28%
37%
Championship
Wrexham
4-6-5Rating 1655
Form: DWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Wrexham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%17.0%4.5%
If Win <1%1.3%22.2%2.0%
If Draw <1%<1%14.6%5.3%
If Lose <1%<1%11.2%7.0%

Bolton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.2%23.5%
If Win <1%<1%5.3%15.9%
If Draw <1%<1%2.0%22.8%
If Lose <1%<1%1.6%29.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BoltonStatWrexham
15Games played15
1.3Avg goals scored1.2
1.9Avg goals conceded1.3
33% / 13% / 53%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 40% / 33%
29% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BoltonStatWrexham
0All-time wins (2 meetings, 2 draws)0
0Last 2 meetings (2 draws)0
0.0Average goals0.0
Last meeting (2025-03-01): Wrexham 0–0 Bolton