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Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Middlesbrough vs Watford Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 56% chance to win.

4-3-1 · Rating 1684
Form: DDWWD
VS
2-2-4 · Rating 1605
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
56%
20%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Watford

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%8.4%26.5%
If Win <1%<1%11.6%19.1%
If Draw <1%<1%8.4%25.6%
If Lose <1%<1%6.7%29.1%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.7%11.8%49.8%1.2%
If Win 4.5%13.5%54.5%<1%
If Draw 3.4%9.2%47.9%1.2%
If Lose 2.1%7.4%46.8%1.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatWatford
8Games played8
2.0Avg goals scored0.9
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 38% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 25% / 50%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatWatford
7All-time wins (23 meetings, 5 draws)11
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Middlesbrough 5–1 Watford