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Championship
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Wrexham vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Wrexham has a 49% chance to win.

2-4-2 · Rating 1656
Form: WLDDW
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
49%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.1%30.7%
If Win <1%<1%10.5%22.7%
If Draw <1%<1%7.1%29.4%
If Lose <1%<1%4.8%34.7%

Wrexham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.2%27.8%7.0%
If Win <1%3.0%31.2%5.3%
If Draw <1%2.5%24.7%6.8%
If Lose <1%1.3%22.2%10.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WrexhamStatDerby
8Games played8
1.1Avg goals scored0.9
1.5Avg goals conceded1.8
25% / 50% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
25% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WrexhamStatDerby
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draws)0
1.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-01-04): Derby 1–2 Wrexham