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Wrexham vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Wrexham has a 53% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Wrexham
4-6-5Rating 1655
Form: DWLLW
vs
Model Probability
53%
Draw 25%
22%
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%54.5%
If Win <1%<1%<1%44.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%55.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%60.0%

Wrexham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%16.5%4.4%
If Win <1%<1%21.0%2.8%
If Draw <1%<1%13.2%4.5%
If Lose <1%<1%10.4%7.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WrexhamStatDerby
15Games played15
1.2Avg goals scored0.9
1.3Avg goals conceded2.0
27% / 40% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
38% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WrexhamStatDerby
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 2 draws)0
1Last 3 meetings (2 draws)0
1.3Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-10-10): Derby 1–1 Wrexham