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Sat, Feb 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Derby vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 37% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
0-4-4 · Rating 1670
Form: DLDLD
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.3%18.0%13.5%
If Win <1%1.7%23.3%9.2%
If Draw <1%<1%16.6%13.5%
If Lose <1%<1%13.7%17.5%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.4%32.6%
If Win <1%<1%9.4%24.0%
If Draw <1%<1%7.0%31.5%
If Lose <1%<1%3.7%36.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatBurnley
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.1
1.8Avg goals conceded2.1
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 50% / 50%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatBurnley
0All-time wins (13 meetings, 5 draws)8
0Last 5 meetings (4 draws)1
0.5Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-09-19): Burnley 1–1 Derby