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Sat, Feb 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Derby vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 37% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
0-4-4 · Rating 1670
Form: DLDLD
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.2%19.0%13.3%
If Win <1%1.5%23.6%9.5%
If Draw <1%<1%16.4%14.1%
If Lose <1%1.0%15.0%16.7%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.8%32.8%
If Win <1%<1%8.9%24.9%
If Draw <1%<1%6.2%32.5%
If Lose <1%<1%4.7%37.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatBurnley
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.1
1.8Avg goals conceded2.1
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 50% / 50%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatBurnley
0All-time wins (13 meetings, 5 draws)8
0Last 5 meetings (4 draws)1
0.5Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-09-19): Burnley 1–1 Derby