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Derby vs QPR Prediction & Win Probability

QPR has a 38% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Feb 16, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
34%
Draw 28%
38%
Championship
QPR
6-6-3Rating 1665
Form: WDLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

QPR

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%3.9%37.1%1.0%
If Win 1.7%5.1%42.8%<1%
If Draw <1%2.8%34.4%<1%
If Lose <1%1.8%30.1%1.1%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%55.8%
If Win <1%<1%<1%48.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%55.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%62.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatQPR
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored1.6
2.0Avg goals conceded1.2
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
12% Home win % / Away win % 29%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatQPR
10All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-10-14): QPR 4–1 Derby