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Tue, Feb 16, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT

Derby vs QPR Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 40% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
3-4-1 · Rating 1652
Form: DDDLW
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

QPR

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.9%31.1%5.2%
If Win 1.4%4.4%38.5%2.9%
If Draw <1%3.0%32.9%4.8%
If Lose <1%2.3%27.2%6.4%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.7%30.3%
If Win <1%<1%9.0%24.1%
If Draw <1%<1%5.7%31.5%
If Lose <1%<1%4.8%38.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatQPR
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.2
1.8Avg goals conceded0.9
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 50% / 12%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatQPR
10All-time wins (24 meetings, 6 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-04-25): QPR 2–3 Derby